Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.475245 0.558126 0.649128 0.756181 0.878378 1.013211 1.172938
2024-10-27 0.346781 0.456359 0.588633 0.758822 0.970609 1.224011 1.548510
2024-11-03 0.271876 0.394635 0.555233 0.777800 1.074849 1.453834 1.969451
2024-11-10 0.217829 0.345015 0.523592 0.787430 1.161015 1.663746 2.382425
2024-11-17 0.177376 0.304239 0.494091 0.790962 1.233564 1.857074 2.786612
2024-11-24 0.149141 0.275131 0.474863 0.803360 1.315772 2.066810 3.227419
2024-12-01 0.125236 0.247654 0.452579 0.805839 1.380259 2.253039 3.646064
2024-12-08 0.101133 0.214631 0.415316 0.777791 1.391693 2.357586 3.947818
2024-12-15 0.090059 0.202980 0.412085 0.804733 1.492414 2.605615 4.484958
2024-12-22 0.079732 0.190609 0.405332 0.823844 1.580539 2.838716 5.013245
2024-12-29 0.074495 0.187528 0.415123 0.873181 1.724176 3.171592 5.723046
2025-01-05 0.064226 0.171538 0.397387 0.868633 1.771040 3.344894 6.180108
2025-01-12 0.054713 0.155519 0.377689 0.858824 1.809094 3.509086 6.639185
2025-01-19 0.046841 0.141649 0.360311 0.851324 1.850469 3.681931 7.124961
2025-01-26 0.041893 0.133997 0.355253 0.868339 1.940182 3.947142 7.788901
2025-02-02 0.037081 0.125569 0.347054 0.877444 2.014628 4.188970 8.425412
2025-02-09 0.032587 0.116920 0.336892 0.880763 2.077155 4.412110 9.040628
2025-02-16 0.029206 0.110683 0.331575 0.894169 2.161351 4.681351 9.755802
2025-02-23 0.025753 0.103323 0.322188 0.896812 2.222555 4.909509 10.406330
2025-03-02 0.021421 0.091871 0.300047 0.865977 2.207814 4.986314 10.772307
2025-03-09 0.019893 0.089558 0.302392 0.895556 2.329480 5.343884 11.699912
2025-03-16 0.018214 0.086255 0.301407 0.916535 2.433217 5.670875 12.584266
2025-03-23 0.017687 0.087150 0.312767 0.970677 2.617676 6.175068 13.844660